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The Nature Methods Points of View column column offers practical advice in design and data presentation for the busy scientist.
With the publication of Uncertainty and the Management of Epidemics, we celebrate our 50th column! Since 2013, our Nature Methods Points of Significance has been offering crisp explanations and practical suggestions about best practices in statistical analysis and reporting. To all our readers and coauthors: thank you and see you in the next column!

Nature Methods: Points of Significance

Martin Krzywinski @MKrzywinski mkweb.bcgsc.ca
Points of Significance column in Nature Methods. (Launch of Points of Significance)
64 | Kurz, C.F., Krzywinski, M & Altman, N. (2026) Points of significance: Double robustness. Nature Methods 23:868–870.
63 | Greco, L., Luta, G., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2025) Points of significance: Symmetric alternatives to the ordinary least squares regression. Nature Methods 22:1610–1613.
62 | Kurz, C.F., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2025) Points of significance: Propensity score weighting. Nature Methods 22:1–3.
61 | Kurz, C.F., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2024) Points of significance: Propensity score matching. Nature Methods 21:1770–1772.
60 | Megahed, F.M, Chen, Y-J., Jones-Farmer, A., Rigdon, S.E., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2024) Points of significance: Comparing classifier performance with baselines. Nature Methods 21:546–548.
59 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2024) Points of significance: Error in predictor variables. Nature Methods 21:4–6.
58 | Derry, A., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2023) Points of significance: Convolutional neural networks. Nature Methods 20:1269–1270.
57 | Derry, A., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2023) Points of significance: Neural network primer. Nature Methods 20:165–167.
56 | Dey, T., Lipsitz, S.R., Cooper, Z., Trinh, Q., Krzywinski, M.& Altman, N. (2022) Points of significance: Regression modelling of time-to-event data with censoring. Nature Methods 19:1513–1515.
55 | Dey, T., Lipsitz, S.R., Cooper, Z., Trinh, Q., Krzywinski, M.& Altman, N. (2022) Points of significance: Survival analysis — time-to-event data and censoring. Nature Methods 19:906–908.
54 | Megahed, F.M, Chen, Y-J., Megahed, A., Ong, Y., Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2021) Points of significance: The class imbalance problem. Nature Methods 18:1270–1272.
53 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2021) Points of significance: Graphical assessments of tests and classifiers. Nature Methods 18:840–842
52 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2021) Points of significance: Testing for rare conditions. Nature Methods 18:224–225.
51 | Voelkl, B., Würbel, H., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2021) Points of significance: The standardization fallacy. Nature Methods 18:5–7.
50 | Bjørnstad, O.N., Shea, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2020) Points of significance: Uncertainty and the management of epidemics. Nature Methods 17:867–868.
49 | Bjørnstad, O.N., Shea, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2020) Points of significance: The SEIRS model for infectious disease dynamics. Nature Methods 17:557–558.
48 | Bjørnstad, O.N., Shea, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2020) Points of significance: Modeling infectious epidemics. Nature Methods 17:455–456.
47 | Grewal, J., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2020) Points of significance: Markov models — training and evaluation of hidden Markov models. Nature Methods 17:121–122.
46 | Grewal, J., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2019) Points of significance: Hidden Markov models. Nature Methods 16:795–796.
45 | Grewal, J., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2019) Points of significance: Markov chains. Nature Methods 16:663–664.
44 | Das, K., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2019) Points of significance: Quantile regression. Nature Methods 16:451–452.
43 | Greco, L., Luta, G., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2019) Points of significance: Analyzing outliers: Robust methods to the rescue. Nature Methods 16:275–276.
42 | Smucker, B., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2019) Points of significance: Two-level factorial experiments Nature Methods 16:211–212.
41 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2018) Points of significance: Predicting with confidence and tolerance Nature Methods 15:843–844.
40 | Smucker, B., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2018) Points of significance: Optimal experimental design Nature Methods 15:559–560.
39 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2018) Points of significance: Curse(s) of dimensionality Nature Methods 15:299–400.
38 | Bzdok, D., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2018) Points of significance: Statistics vs machine learning. Nature Methods 15:233–234.
37 | Bzdok, D., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2018) Points of significance: Machine learning: supervised methods. Nature Methods 15:5–6.
36 | Bzdok, D., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2017) Points of significance: Machine learning: a primer. Nature Methods 14:1119–1120.
35 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2017) Points of significance: Ensemble methods: Bagging and random forests. Nature Methods 14:933–934.
34 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2017) Points of significance: Classification and regression trees. Nature Methods 14:757–758.
33 | Lever, J., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2017) Points of significance: Principal component analysis. Nature Methods 14:641–642.
32 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2017) Points of significance: Clustering. Nature Methods 14:545–546.
31 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2017) Points of significance: Tabular data. Nature Methods 14:329–330.
30 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2017) Points of significance: Interpreting P values. Nature Methods 14:213–214.
29 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2017) Points of significance: P values and the search for significance. Nature Methods 14:3–4.
28 | Lever, J., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2016) Points of significance: Regularization. Nature Methods 13:803–804.
27 | Lever, J., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2016) Points of significance: Model selection and overfitting. Nature Methods 13:703–704.
26 | Lever, J., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2016) Points of significance: Classifier evaluation. Nature Methods 13:603–604.
25 | Lever, J., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2016) Points of significance: Logistic regression. Nature Methods 13:541–542.
24 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2016) Points of significance: Regression diagnostics. Nature Methods 13:385–386.
23 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2016) Points of significance: Analyzing outliers: Influential or nuisance. Nature Methods 13:281–282.
22 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2015) Points of significance: Multiple linear regression. Nature Methods 12:1103–1104.
21 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2015) Points of significance: Simple linear regression. Nature Methods 12:999–1000.
20 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2015) Points of significance: Association, correlation and causation. Nature Methods 12:899–900.
19 | Puga, J.L, Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2015) Points of significance: Bayesian networks. Nature Methods 12:799–800.
18 | Kulesa, A., Krzywinski, M., Blainey, P. & Altman, N. (2015) Points of significance: Sampling distributions and the bootstrap. Nature Methods 12:477–478.
17 | Puga, J.L, Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2015) Points of significance: Bayesian statistics. Nature Methods 12:277–278.
16 | Puga, J.L, Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2015) Points of significance: Bayes' theorem. Nature Methods 12:277–278.
15 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2015) Points of significance: Split plot design. Nature Methods 12:165–166.
14 | Altman, N. & Krzywinski, M. (2015) Points of significance: Sources of variation. Nature Methods 12:5–6.
13 | Krzywinski, M., Altman, N. (2014) Points of significance: Two factor designs. Nature Methods 11:1187–1188.
12 | Krzywinski, M., Altman, N. & Blainey, P. (2014) Points of significance: Nested designs. Nature Methods 11:977–978.
11 | Blainey, P., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2014) Points of significance: Replication. Nature Methods 11:879–880.
10 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2014) Points of significance: Analysis of variance (ANOVA) and blocking. Nature Methods 11:699–700.
9 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2014) Points of significance: Designing comparative experiments. Nature Methods 11:597–598.
8 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2014) Points of significance: Non-parametric tests. Nature Methods 11:467–468.
7 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2014) Points of significance: Comparing samples — Part II — Multiple testing. Nature Methods 11:355–356.
6 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2014) Points of significance: Comparing samples — Part I — t–tests. Nature Methods 11:215–216.
5 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2014) Points of significance: Visualizing samples with box plots. Nature Methods 11:119–120.
4 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2013) Points of significance: Power and sample size. Nature Methods 10:1139–1140.
3 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2013) Points of significance: Significance, P values and t–tests. Nature Methods 10:1041–1042.
2 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2013) Points of significance: Error bars. Nature Methods 10:921–922.
1 | Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2013) Points of significance: Importance of being uncertain. Nature Methods 10:809–810.
news + thoughts

Propensity score weighting

Mon 04-05-2026

It is not certain that everything is uncertain. —Blaise Pascal

We have already explored how we can mitigate bias caused by confounding variables in observational studies using propensity score (PS) matching (PSM) and propensity score weighting (PSW). However, any statistical model is only as good as its assumptions and, if it is specified incorrectly, it can itself produce biased estimates of the treatment effect.

Martin Krzywinski @MKrzywinski mkweb.bcgsc.ca
Nature Methods Points of Significance column: Double Robustness. (read)

This month, we explore double robustness, a powerful statistical concept that provides a valuable “safety net” against the risk of an incorrect model. It offers two opportunities, instead of just one, to obtain a valid estimate of the treatment effect — making it possible to draw credible causal inferences from observational data without having to depend on a single set of modeling assumptions.

Kurz, C.F., Krzywinski, M. & Altman, N. (2026) Points of significance: Double Robustness. Nat. Methods 23:868–869.

Nature Biotechnology cover

Thu 23-04-2026

My cover design on the 7 April 2026 Nature Biotechnology issue shows the dendrogram that represents a cluster of uniquely expressed (or downregulated) genes in human naive stem cells induced from such cells. Within each dendrogram block, the genomic barcode sequence (sampled from Supplementary Table 1) is depicted with a Code 39 barcode. The highlighted barcode is one of those used for cell isolation.

Ishiguro S. et al. A multi-kingdom genetic barcoding system for precise clone isolation (2026) Nature Biotechnology 44:616–629.

Martin Krzywinski @MKrzywinski mkweb.bcgsc.ca
My Nature Biotechnology phylogenetic tree cover (volume 44, issue 4, 7 April 2026). (more)

Browse my gallery of cover designs.

Martin Krzywinski @MKrzywinski mkweb.bcgsc.ca
A catalogue of my journal and magazine cover designs. (more)

Happy 2026 π Day—
Art for the 5%

Fri 13-03-2026

Celebrate π Day (March 14th) and enjoy the art — but only if you're part of the 5%.

Go ahead, see what you can't see.

Martin Krzywinski @MKrzywinski mkweb.bcgsc.ca
2026 π DAY | Art for the 5%. Shown in the style of Ishihara color test plates, the art is visible only to those with colour blindness. (details)

Ishihara's Tests for Colour Deficiency

Sun 08-03-2026

Authentic and accurate images of Ishihara's test plates photographed (and lovingly color-corrected) from the 38-plate Ishihara's Tests for Colour Deficiency.

I also provide the position, size, and color of each circle on each test plate.

Martin Krzywinski @MKrzywinski mkweb.bcgsc.ca
ISHIHARA'S TEST PLATE 6 | This plate is part of the set of transformation plates. If you see 5, you're ok. If you see 2, you're not. (details)
Martin Krzywinski @MKrzywinski mkweb.bcgsc.ca
ISHIHARA'S TEST PLATE 18 | This plate is part of the set of mysterious hidden plates. If you don't see anything, you're ok. If you see 5, you're not. (details)
Martin Krzywinski | contact | Canada's Michael Smith Genome Sciences CentrePHSA
Google whack “vicissitudinal corporealization”